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Дневной график: пара сконцентрирована пока в пределах верхнего конверта Боллинджера (1.2377-1.2700). Моментум графика цена - бычий, но ADX откровенно спит. Поэтому сценарий преимущественно флэтовый.
Н4: пара в горизонтальном канале 1.2448-1.2619 (диапазон конвертов Боллинджера). Присутствует разворотный паттерн Over&Under, но, что называется, "на тоненького". Хотелось бы иметь более внушительные аргументы для разворота вниз. Поэтому отслеживаем реакцию на поддержку 1.2448. Если она окажется слабой, то медведи получат позиционное преимущество для дальнейшего снижения.
Н1: а здесь отмечаем встречный (бычий) Over&Under с зоной входа в покупки 1.2464. Здесь антагонизмом выступает ADX, который растет и находится в зоне, очень близкой от трендовой. Что ж, день будет непростым, т.к. он наполнен противоречиями и ловушками.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - снижение к 1.2464 и затем рост в направлении 1.2619
Альтернативный сценарий - прорыв ниже 1.2448 и дальнейшее падение в 23-ю фигуру
Торговые решения:
1. Продажи к 1.2464
2. Покупки от 1.2464 к 1.2619. Стопы в этом случае довольно неприятные (ниже 1.2400)
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