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Дневной график: фаза нисходящей коррекции в направлении поддержек 1.2391 и 1.2035 (нижняя и средняя полосы Боллинджера) происходит на фоне слабого корректирующегося ADX, поэтому общий медвежий характер движения может сохраняться всю торговую сессию.
Н4: конверты Боллинджера стабильны, коридор 1.2417-1.2709. Однако при этом медведи накопили существенный потенциал (судя по состоянию индикатора ADX). Это может привести к активизации нисходящей фазы.
Н1: локально отмечаем боковой коридор в рамках диапазона полос Боллинджера (1.2468-1.2533). ADX в рамках этого таймфрейма растет, но пока недостаточно активно. Поэтому флэт может сохраняться.
Имеем очевидное противоречие между фреймами. Это создает некоторые сложности для верной трактовки происходящего. Но, исходя из преимущества ТФ старшего порядка, мы будем все же исходить из общего медвежьего настроя.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - снижение к 1.2417, 1.2391, 1.2350
Альтернативный сценарий - флэт 1.2468-1.2533
Торговые решения: продажи от 1.2533 к 1.2417, 1.2391, 1.2350
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