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Нисходящий канал вчера был пробит. Но медведи устроили засаду на уровне 1.4280 и цена оказалась зажата между 1.4250 и 1.4280. Наиболее вероятным сценарием станет поход в сторону пробоя.
Попробуем оценить потенциал обоих вариантов с помощью ADX.
На часовом графике пин и инсайд. Если часовая свеча уверенно закроется ниже границы инсайд-бара (1.4244), то первыми целями станут 1.4202 и 1.4190.
Если же произойдет стратегически важное закрытие за 1.4282 (хай предыдущей свечи и вероятные стопы продавцов), то целями подьема станут 1.4370, 1.4442 и 1.45.
Если обращать внимание только на индикаторы, то первый сценарий видится более предпочтительным.
На дневном графике цена идет строго по границе облака Ишимоку. ADX смотрит вниз, т.е. он пока трактует происходящее, как коррекцию.
Вывод: отложенники в обе стороны на пробой 1.4250 - 1.4280 с указанными выше целями.
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