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На 4х-часовом графике британца видно, что в верхнем конверте существует интенсивное предложение на продажу, что в течении дня вновь может дать снижение цены к нижней полосе Боллинджера (1.5414). ADX при этом резко оживляется, четко передавая, что в нынешних условиях основная тенденция - южная.
Дневной фрейм: видны сопротивления в районе средней Боллинджера (что подтверждает нисходящую тенеденцию), а так же на отметке 1.5548, которая не дает закрыться быкам выше (и прокол вверх лишь подтверждает это). Здесь ADX смотрит вниз, что говорит о возможности образования здесь внутреннего бара (за счет мощного предыдущего бара), т.е. мы можем ждать сегодня торговлю в диапазоне 1.5414-1.5545.
Вывод: основной сценарий - боковой диапазон 1.5514-1.5545. Вероятно, что на отметке 1.5514 будет существенный спекулятивный спрос, что будет давать выносы цены вверх. Продавать при этом является более безопасной стратегией.
Альтернативным сценарие мы будем считать вариант слома поддержки на 1.5400 и 1.5413 и снижение к 1.5350.
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