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Н4: три очень близко расположенных сопротивления (98.69, 98.84, 98.95) почти наверняка создадут разворотный момент для пары. Видим отсутствие трендовойо энергии от ADX. Многое будет зависеть от того, пробьют ли быки последний ИБ. Если нет - то снижение может начать уже с текущих уровней (красная траектория)
Часовой график: видно, что пару зажимают в пружину между верхней и нижней полосой Боллинджера (98.47 - 98.69) и в этом смысле полученный пинбар - очень существенный шорт-сигнал.
Вывод: основной сценарий - снижение к 98.40-98.47, затем откат к 98.50-98.60 и начало более активной фазы снижения пары, в направлении 98.16.
альтернатива - рост в зону 98.95, но так так же быки столкнутся с сильнейшим сопротивлением, поэтому в общем плане мои ожидания по паре - южные.
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