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Список форумов ‹ Для трейдеров ‹ Аналитика рынков FOREX и CFD (металлы, акции США, фьючерсы) ‹ Фреш-прогноз ‹ Определение потенциала тренда ‹ EURUSD
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Дневной график: сохранена южная динамика пары. Мы видим две основные вероятные траектории для продолжения среднесрочного снижения. Это либо через касание средней полосы Боллинджера (1.3595, синяя стрелка), либо же прямое снижение (в зону 1.3436 и через коррекцию дальше вниз, к 1.33, красная стрелка).
Н4: полосы Боллинджера выстроились в горизонтальный коридор 1.3480-1.3554. Если пробития не произойдет, то день может пройти в данном диапазоне. ADX пока недостаточно активен, поэтому внимание на отметке 1.3480.
Н1: достаточно сильное сужение конвертов. Возможны резкие выбросы цены вниз\вверх, после чего, вероятно, произойдет возврат цены (ввиду неактивного ADX)/
Вывод: основной сценарий - торговля в коридоре 1.3480-1.3554. Назвать это полноценным флэтом нельзя, т.к. возможны всплески волатильности.
Альтернатива - пробой 1.3480 и начало снижения к 1.3436, и затем, возможно, еще ниже, в 33-ю фигуру.
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