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Дневной график: пара в импульсном режиме подходит к поддержке 100.11 (нижняя полоса Боллинджера и психологический круглый уровень), и мы видим, что происходит всё это на росте ADX, который, при этом, пока не достиг трендовой зоны. Но если давление медведей не ослабнет, то мы увидим новое большое среднесрочное падение пары (См. красную стрелку)
Н4: несколько баров за пределами конвертов, но очень активный (даже агрессивный!) ADX, что может означать готовность к более сильному падению.
Н1: так же имеем трендовый медвежий ADX, но на фоне достаточно большой перепроданности. При этом нижняя полоса Боллинджера находится ниже поддержки 100.11, что так же является аргументом в пользу продавцов.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - падение под 100.11 и закрепление в 99-й фигуре
Альтернативный сценарий - касание зоны 100.00-100.11 и отскок вверх в направлении 101.29
Торговые решения: отслеживаем реакцию цены на уровень 100.11 и действуем исходя из отскока\пробоя (см. сценарии на день)
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