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Дневной график: ADX пока находится в очень слабом состоянии, поэтому, по всей видимости, будет сохраняться диапазон 111.55-114.73 (диапазон конвертов Боллинджера).
Н4: более локализованный коридор 111.80-113.54 (конверты Боллинджера), причем общая нисходящая структура будет сохраняться. При этом прямо сейчас пара на локальном сопротивлении 112.71 (средняя полоса Боллинджера), которое также может проявить активное предложение по доллару и, как следствие, снижение.
Н1: внутренний медвежий бар за пределами конвертов Болинджера позволяет рассматривать продажи со стопами над зоной 117.11 с целями 112.29 и 111.90.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - снижение с текущих уровней к 112.29 и, возможно, к 111.90
Альтернативный сценарий - рост к 113.54 и затем старт активной отработки вниз.
Торговые решения:
1. Продажи с текущих уровней со стопами над 113.11 и профитом на уровнях 112.29 и 111.90.
2. Лимитные заявки на продажу на уровне 113.54
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