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Дневной график: сохраняется медвежье давление, которое оказывает нагрузку на уровень поддержки 108.66. Если продавцы сделают это, то получат перспективы снижения еще не 150 пунктов.
Н4: вчера было встречено сопротивление на 109.72 (средняя полоса Боллинджера), т.е. быки свой шанс на существенную коррекцию не реализовали, что подтверждает сохранение медвежьего потенциала. Локальная поддержка находится на 108.30 (нижняя полоса).
Н1: отмечаем локальный бычий (!) паттерн Over&Under, с зоной входа в покупки на 108.73. Продавцам нужно продавить последний минимум на 108.49 и тогда пара упадет дальше (см. красную стрелку).
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - снижение в зону 108.73 и затем рост к 109.72.
Альтернативный сценарий - провал под 108.49 и дальнейшее снижение в 107-ю фигуру.
Торговые решения:
1. Покупки от 108.73, к 109.72, со стопами под 108.49.
2. Продажи под 108.49 к 107.50
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