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Дневной график: развитие восходящей технической коррекции продолжается, поэтому можно ожидать тестирование средней полосы Боллинджера (1.2332) перед вероятным разворотом вниз. Напомним, что несколько дней назад был пробит нижний конверт Боллинджера, поэтому тактика продаж от средней является наиболее оптимальной.
Н4: локально присутствует бычий потенциал, что также говорит в пользу отработки быками цели в зоне 1.2332. Здесь будет существовать очень большая угроза разворота тренда вверх, поэтому активность медведей должна быть значительной.
Н1: значительное сопротивление на пути роста сейчас находится на отметке 1.2274 (верхняя полоса Боллинджера). Если оно будет пробито, то пространство к 1.2332 будет открыто.
Выводы:
Основной сценарий - рост к 1.2332 и затем разворот вниз.
Альтернативный сценарий - при неспособности пройти сопротивления 1.2274, ждем разворот из этой зоны и снижение котировок в направлении 1.2200.
Торговые решения:
1. Покупки к 1.2332.
2. Продажи от 1.2332.
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