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Дневной график: пара не получила вчера закрытия ниже средней полосы Боллинджера (1.2983), хотя достаточно глубоко относительно этой зоны прощупывала уровни на протяжении дня. Посмотрим, продолжатся ли сегодня попытки медведей закрепиться ниже психологической зоны 1.3000 для полного разворота вниз.
Н4: нижний локальный конверт Боллинджера был пробит, поэтому от сопротивлений 1.3018 и 1.3072 (средняя и верхняя полоса Боллинджера) снижение котировок может быть продолжено.
Н1: внутри дня присутствует восходящее трендовое давление покупателей, поэтому ждем восстановление пары в направлении 1.3072. Контрольная зона сопротивления - 1.3018.
Выводы:
Основной сценарий - рост к 1.3072.
Альтернативный сценарий - разворот вниз от 1.3018 и снижение в направлении 1.2949.
Торговые решения:
1. Выше 1.3018 - покупки к 1.3072.
2. Ниже 1.3018 - продажи к 1.2949.
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