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Уважаемые трейдеры!
Банк Японии проведет заключительное совещание управляющего Харухико Куроды в пятницу, а пока инвесторы остаются в состоянии повышенной готовности на случай неожиданного прощального салюта от Куроды, который может встряхнуть финансовые рынки по всему миру.
Рыночные спекуляции подпитываются отсутствием улучшения функционирования рынка облигаций, несмотря на то, что Банк Японии в декабре расширил целевой диапазон доходности 10-летних облигаций именно для решения этой проблемы. Этот шаг укрепил репутацию Куроды, застающего рынки врасплох.
Он также нарушил бы обычай среди бывших управляющих Банка Японии. С тех пор, как в 1998 году банк начал регулярно публиковать заявления о политике, ни один из четырех управляющих, предшествовавших Куроде, не внес никаких изменений на своем последнем заседании.
Большинство наблюдателей за Банком Японии не видят, что Курода движется к ужесточению в пятницу, поскольку это может вызвать бурные спекуляции по поводу дальнейших изменений после вступления кандидата в управляющие, Кадзуо Уэды, в должность через месяц.
Тем не менее, ежеквартальный обзор рынка облигаций, проведенный Банком Японии, показал, что показатели функционирования рынка облигаций ухудшились до рекордно низкого уровня в начале этого месяца, поддерживая ожидания того, что необходимы дополнительные действия.
Во время парламентских слушаний 27 февраля Уэда указал, что ему потребуется время, прежде чем вносить какие-либо радикальные изменения в смягчение денежно-кредитной политики. Ожидается, что кандидатура Уэды получит официальное одобрение парламента в пятницу.
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