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Дневной график: присутствует ощущение, что вчера было нащупано локальное свинговое дно от 1.0814. Это позволяет быкам провести безопасную для нисходящего тренда коррекцию вверх. Но, разумеется, выход столь сильных данных как NFP может пробить вчерашнее дно и тогда свинг вниз будет продолжен в 7-ю фигуру. Хотя коррекция к 1.10 была бы оптимальным ходом для поиска новых сделок вниз.
Часовой график: имеем локальный бычий O&U, что так же говорит о северной локальной тенденции. Вынос цены к 1.0935-1.0950-1.10 можно использовать для поиска шорт-сигналов.
Сценарии:
1) Вынос вверх на выходе NFP в зону 1.0935-1.0950-1.10 и затем резкий импульс вниз и начало нового свинга в 7-ю фигуру.
2) Прямое снижение в 7-.ю фигуру в случае выхода негативных для евро данных.
Торговые решения:
1) Торговля сегодня особенно рискованна, поэтому можно либо воздержаться от сделок, либо попробовать продажи на выносе цены вверх.
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