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Дневной график: пятница была закрыта неоднозначным внутренний баром. Его нельзя трактовать исключительно как окончание восходящего свинга ввиду очень высокой цены закрытия. Поэтому, несмотря на полное сохранение общей нисходящей структуры, возможен вынос вверх (в частности, в виде ложного пробоя ИБ).
Медведи могут пробовать торговать эту формацию на пробой нижней стенки ИБ (1.0713)
Часовой график: динамичный восходящий свинг без явных признаков завершения. Если быки смогут пробиться выше последней вершины (1.0829), то будет установлена локальная восходящая структура. Медведям, очевидно, лучше этого не допустить (см. красную стрелку), поэтому любые шорт-сигналы в зоне 1.08 будет иметь повышенную вероятность отработки.
Сценарии:
1) Снижение из зоны 1.08 на пробой последних двух свинговых поддержек (1.0713 и 1.0690)
2) В случае роста выше 1.0829 будет возможным продолжение восходящего фронта вплоть до 1.10
Торговые решения:
1) Продажи из зоны 1.08 к 1.0650
2) Покупки на пробой 1.0829 к 1.10
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