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Дневной график: пара приближается в намеченную нами вчера зону входа в покупки в рамках локального бычьего паттерна Over&Under (1.0561). Однако, происходит это на чрезмерно повышенных показателях индикатора ADX, что может сыграть на "руку" медведям. Если минимумы будут пробиты, то евро может начать заваливаться гораздо ниже (см. темную стрелку).
Н4: аналогичная ситуация, но здесь ADX пока не вошел в трендовую зону. Поэтому нашим основным ожиданием будет всё же отскок от 1.0561 и начало роста в зону 1.0800. Впрочем, альтернатива и здесь не меняется: при уходе на новые минимумы нас может ждать новое нисходящее ралли.
Н1: в рамках этого фрейма, как мы видим, быки сохраняют контроль: сближение с зоной 1.0561 происходит на корректирующемся ADX, поэтому вероятность отработки лимитных ордеров вверх велика.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - касание зоны 1.0561 и начало роста в направлении 1.08
Альтернативный сценарий - падение под 1.05
Торговые решения:
1. Покупки от 1.0561 к 1.08 (среднесрочно)
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