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Дневной график: быки не справились с сопротивлением в зоне верхней полосы Боллинджера (1.1965), что привело к резкому обрушению котировок более, чем на 100 пунктов. Исходя из такой динамики, можно предположить, что медведи будут предпринимать попытки снизить котировки евро под среднюю линию (1.1790), что практически нивелировало бы все предыдущие успехи быков. Картина выглядит очень странной. Неужели прорыв более, чем 13-дневной консолидации вверх окажется ложным?
Н4: интенсивный медвежий моментум также говорит в пользу разворота восходящего тренда вниз. Однако, очень близко находится сильная зона поддержка 1.1817, откуда будет возможен откат цены вверх в область 1.1892-1.1914.
Н1: пробит нижний конверт Боллинджера, что является сигналом продолжения снижения. Таким образом, сделки на продажу пока более предпочтительны.
Выводы:
Основной сценарий - снижение в зону 1.1790-1.1817, затем коррекция к 1.1892-1.1914.
Альтернативный сценарий - откат вверх к 1.1892-1.1914, затем снижение в направлении 1.1790-1.1817.
Торговые решения: продажи из зоны 1.1892-1.1914 к 1.1790-1.1817.
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