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Дневной график: очень сильный моментум, продемонстрированный вчера, является частью низкого трендового потенциала и постоянным стремлением цены вернуться к средней полосе Боллинджера (1.0650). Вероятно, данная тенденция сохранится и сегодня.
Н4: был пробит локальный нижний конверт Боллинджера, поэтому, после отката котировок в область сопротивления 1.0681 (средняя линия Боллинджера), возможно возобновление давления продавцов к 1.0608.
Н1: отмечаем еще один динамический уровень сопротивления 1.0648 (средняя полоса Боллинджера). Также необходимо заметить, что нижняя полоса ушла значительно ниже круглого уровня 1.0600, на отметку 1.0571, которая может быть внутридневной целью медведей.
Выводы:
Основной сценарий - снижение к 1.0571.
Альтернативный сценарий - откат к 1.0681, затем разворот вниз в направлении 1.0608.
Торговые решения: продажи к 1.0608 и 1.0571. Оптимальная зона входа - 1.0681.
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