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Дневной график: продолжается нагнетание потенциала, которое вылилось вчера в новый внутренний бар, который так же может не получить сегодня должной отработки ввиду неактивного положения ADX. Поэтому мы продолжаем ожидать северную развязку как основной сценарий, но допускаем варианты, при которых возможны небольшие выносы вниз, в зону средней полосы Боллинджера (1.3650-1.37).
Именно пробой вниз средней полосы Боллинджера мог бы стать противоположным сигналом - сигналом к падению евро не менее, чем к 1.3487 (нижняя Боллинджера).
Н4: идентичная картина. Видим накопление в горизонтальном канале в рамках конвертов Боллинджера (1.3704-1.3750). Быкам желательно не выпускать пару ниже 1.37. Хотя и ложные пробои вниз так же стали бы существенными сигналами для дальнейшего роста пары.
Н1: можем отметить еще одну важную поддержку в зоне 1.3722, где произойдет касание с трендовой линией, обеспечивающей быков северным потенциалом. Ниже 1.3704 ситуация, как видно, сильно усугубится.
Вывод: основной сценарий - рост пары к 1.3750, а с прорывом - и к 1.3809. В рамках отработки такого сценария возможно предварительное снижение к 1.3722, где пару можно будет покупать.
альтернатива - снижение к 1.3704 и 1.3650.
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