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Дневной график: толкотня на средней полосе Боллинджера. Близость трендовой. Идет явный подхват от АДХ, поэтому медведям нужно срочно, без каких либо дополнительных коррекций снова давить вниз. Иначе, возможный южный тренд потеряет импульс. Итак, пробой 1.6119 даст потенциал для движения к 1.6003, 1.5930 и 1.5787 (в среднесрочной перспективе, разумеется).
Н4: вероятно, что консолидация внутри нижнего конверта продолжится. Это может привести к развороту пары вверх.
Н1: "перекур" в боковике. АДХ стартовать пока не готов, поэтому ваероятно, что диапазон 1.6119-1.6176 будет сохранен.
Вывод: основной сценарий - торговля в боковом коридоре 1.6119-1.6176. Альтернативно, очевидно, ждем пробоя коридора. Южная карма пока сильнее, поэтому при пробой 1.6119 откроются существенные южные горизонты. Восходящие варианты нужно будет рассматривать при закреплении пары выше 1.62.
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