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Дневной график: после шестого подряд бара вне пределов нижнего конверта Боллинджера, наконец-то, стартовала восходящая коррекция. Потенциал ее развития достаточно большой - вплоть до средней полосы Боллинджера (1.2624).
Н4: отмечаем локальное сопротивление в зоне 1.1845 (средняя линия Боллинджера), которое можно считать контрольным уровнем. Как видим, нижняя полоса Боллинджера пока что остается ниже цены (область 1.1278), что делает возможным доработку этой зоны перед окончательным разворотом вверх. Но, в случае пробоя 1.1845, восходящая коррекция сможет достичь верхней линии Боллинджера (1.2413, см. красную стрелку).
Н1: внутридневный потенциал ADX невелик, поэтому сегодня, скорее всего, пара будет соваться в пределах конвертов Боллинджера (1.1439-1.1733).
Выводы:
Основной сценарий - касание зоны 1.1733 и затем снижение в направлении 1.1438.
Альтернативный сценарий - рост выше 1.1733 к 1.1845.
Торговые решения:
1. продажи из зоны 1.1733 к 1.1438.
2. покупки выше 1.1733 к 1.1845.
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