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Дневной график: массивный пробой нижнего конверта Боллинджера - явный сигнал продолжения снижения котировок. При этом, индикатор ADX пока что не достиг трендовой зоны, поэтому в первую половину дня возможен откат цены в направлении средней полосы (1.3700), где, соответственно, находится и ключевая область предложения.
Н4: локальное динамическое сопротивление от средней полосы Боллинджера находится почти на 70 пунктов ниже дневного уровня (1.3626), поэтому очень возможно, что мы увидим активные распродажи именно из этой зоны, т.к. нижний конверт Боллинджера был пробит.
Н1: итак, отмечаем наличие пробоя нижнего конверта Боллинджера на всех таймфреймах, что делает негативный прогноз для фунта практически однозначным. Помешать его отработке может только значительный негативный новостной фон для доллара.
Выводы: откат вверх в область 1.3575-1.3626, затем обвал в направлении 1.3400 и ниже.
Торговые решения: продажи из зоны 1.3575-1.3626 к 1.3400 и ниже.
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