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Дневной график: восходящий свинг уже укомплектован (что, технически, дает возможность медведям запускать новый нисходящий свинг). Но, я, все же, склоняюсь к сценарию продолжения восходящей коррекции в направлении зоны 9303.22 - во-первых, биткоин "любит" сильные уровни, а, во-вторых, прямого сигнала к началу снижения пока сформировано не было.
Н1: локальной восходящей структуре не хватает еще одного пересечения свингов вверх, для чего быкам нужно пробить сопротивление 8633.33. При этом уже сформирован полноценный восходящий свинг без прорыва последней вершины, что, действительно, может говорить о слабости быков и возможном развороте вниз. Контрольной поддержкой для этого сценария является 8154.17.
Ожидания:
Основной сценарий - рост выше 8633.33, с дальнейшим движением в зону 9303.22.
Альтернативный сценарий - снижение под 8154.17 может вновь обрушить котировки в зону 7500.00.
Торговые решения:
1. Покупки на пробой 8633.33 к 9303.22.
2. Продажи на пробой 8154.17 к 7500.00.
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