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Список форумов ‹ Для трейдеров ‹ Аналитика рынков FOREX и CFD (металлы, акции США, фьючерсы) ‹ Фреш-прогноз ‹ Фундаментальный анализ ‹ USD/JPY
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USDJPY:
На товарном рынке наблюдается рост котировок золота и нефти, что традиционно является негативным сигналом для американской валюты. На мой взгляд, восходящий тренд на товарном рынке еще далек от завершения, поскольку Федеральный Резерв активно проводить программу количественного смягчения, что способствует росту активов. Только по итогам марта ФРС выкупила казначейских и ипотечных облигаций на сумму 924 миллиарда долларов. Порядка 90,7% этого объема пришлось на казначейские бумаги, что является позитивным сигналом для товарного рынка. ФРС существует с 1913 года и периодически проводит скупку казначейских бумаг. В прошлом такие процессы всегда вызывали рост товаров и снижение доллара. На мой взгляд, в этот раз история повторится.
Торговая рекомендация: Sell 109.20/109.50 и take profit 108.60.
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