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Список форумов ‹ Для трейдеров ‹ Аналитика рынков FOREX и CFD (металлы, акции США, фьючерсы) ‹ Фреш-прогноз ‹ Фундаментальный анализ ‹ USD/JPY
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События, на которые следует обратить внимание сегодня:
18.00 мск. США: объем продаж жилья на первичном рынке.
USDJPY:
Снижение американского фондового рынка тянет за собой вниз данную валютную пару, поскольку она исторически коррелирует с индексом SP500. Рынок акции снижается на сокращении стимулирующих мер Федрезерва – объем активов на балансе больше не будет расти, поскольку FED купит $16 млрд казначейских бумаг и продаст в двое больший объем ипотечных облигаций. Мы выходим на финишную прямую масштабной программы количественного смягчения, которая была запущена 16 марта 2020 года. Если посмотреть на динамику индекса страха VIX, то падать еще есть куда, поскольку показатель сейчас находится в области 30 пунктов, а перепроданность рынка акций обычно начинается выше 40 пунктов. На мой взгляд, в начале марта мы увидим снижение индекса SP500 в область психологического уровня 4000 пунктов, где может сформироваться разворот тренда вверх.
Торговая рекомендация: sell 115.25/115.49 и take profit 114.70.
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