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События, на которые следует обратить внимание сегодня:
15.30 мск. США: изменение числа занятых в несельскохозяйственном секторе за август.
USDJPY:
ФРС США опубликовала свежую статистику по изменению активов на своем балансе. Показатель за последнюю неделю сократился на $25,3 млрд в первую очередь за счет продажи ипотечных ценных бумаг. Такой исход был ожидаем, поскольку Федрезерв в последнее время скупал данные активы и согласно программе количественного ужесточения должен был их продать к 1 сентября. В начале осени монетарные власти продолжат сокращать объем активов, причем должны удвоить объемы, согласно своим заявлениям в начале мая. Сокращение баланса ФРС будет оказывать благоприятно влияние на стоимость доллара, при этом Банк Японии каждую неделею увеличивает активы на своем балансе, что негативно для японской йены. Котировки USDJPY находятся выше психологической отметки 140.00, и такая девальвация йены должна беспокоить Правительство Страны восходящего солнца, поскольку несет в себе риски роста инфляции. Пока мы не видим заявлений на этот счет, но они могут начаться в любой момент, что спровоцирует волну распродаж USDJPY.
Торговая рекомендация: флэт 139.60 -140.60.
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