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Дневной график: неожиданно вчера был получен бычий внутренний бар, что создает некоторую угрозу нисходящему тренду (в том случае, если импульс распределения вверх превысит последнюю вершину 120.56). Но пока мы продолжаем исходить из продолжения нисходящего тренда, а значит - из ограниченного потенциала движения вверх
Часовой график: локальное зажатие диапазона. Внизу, в зоне 118.62 присутствует спрос на доллар в рамках паттерна O&U, поэтому возможно снижение в эту зону (красная стрелка). Но в случае прорыва выше 119.65, рост получит доминирующую роль на этот день.
Сценарии:
1) Снижение к 118.62 и начало роста к 120.00. Рассматриваем этот сценарий в случае ухода под 119.13
2) При прорыве выше 119.64 - ждем рост в зону 120.40.
Торговые решения:
1) Ждем лимитными заявками на покупку в зоне 118.62
2) Покупаем на пробой 119.65 с целью 120.40
3) В зоне 120.40, при появлении сигналов на продажу - входим вниз и держим сделку среднесрочно, в рамках дневного нисходящего свинга.
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