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Дневной график: медведи, в рамках формирования откатного нисходящего свинга, пробили вчера понедельничный внутренний бар и теперь имеют хорошие шансы на продолжение коррекции (т.к. нисходящему свингу не хватает второго пересечения вниз). Впрочем, на любом понижении вчерашних минимумов, можно ждать начало сильного восходящего свинга.
Часовой график: локальная нисходящая структура в фазе формирования восходящего свинга. Для медведей важнейшим сопротивление является последняя вершина (121.09). Пока данный уровень не пробит, продавцы имеют возможность строить дальнейшее построение вниз, на пробой последнего дна (120.15).
Если же 121.09 будет пробит, то быки получат карт-бланш на развитие свинга вверх еще дальше, к 121.48 и выше.
Сценарии:
1) Касание зоны 121.00 и новый свинг вниз под 120.15.
2) При прорыве выше 121.09 - рост к 121.48 и, возможно, к 122.00.
Торговые решения:
1) При формировании шорт-сигналов в зоне 121.00 - продаем со стопами выше 121.09 и целью 120.00
2) При прорыве выше 121.09 - либо покупаем к 121.48, либо пропускаем этот свинг вверх, затем пропускаем следующий свинг вниз и только затем покупаем в следующий свинг вверх (т.к. именно он будет иметь максимальный потенциал движения).
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